Monday, November 16, 2015

Week 10 Vegas Total MNF Bengals/Texans

Houston 47
Cincinnati -10.5

The Bengals have a projected total 29 while the Texans are only projected for 18.  I actually see this game ending close to that number.  MNF usually produces some interesting fireworks but it wouldn't surprise me to see a final of Bengals 35 Texans 13.  

The Texans come into the game giving up 16 TD through the air while giving up 123.5 YPG and 7 TD's on the ground.  The Texans defense was suppose to be the glue that held this team together and it has struggled mightily.  

If you are coming into MNF just a few points back in your contests, this is the kind of match up to hope for.  Tonight's match up is favorable for all the Bengals starters.  If the Bengals do get up early, it is more likely to see Jeremy Hill ($5300) than Gio Bernard ($4700) get he bulk of the work.  We have all been waiting for Hill to finally pay off his expensive 1st round price we paid for him back in August and this is the type of game to help make that happen.

AJ Green ($7600) has averaged 10 targets over the past three weeks and I expect more of the same.  Look for Green to be targeted 10-15 times tonight totaling 100+ yards and TD.

Tyler Eifert ($5800) has been a red zone dream for DFS owners.  It is obvious Dalton trusts him when he's looking for a steady set of hands when it counts the most.  Eifert has scored 4 TD's over the last three weeks and will have several opportunities to increase those totals.

Much like any other week in the NFL season, DeAndre Hopkins ($8700) remains the only Texan I consider starting.  Hopkins has been targeted 15/12/11 over the last three weeks turning those opportunities into 292 yards and three TD's.  Nate Washington ($4400) is benefiting from the Hopkins coverage where he was targeted 16 times in week 7 against Miami.  Washington has 3 TD's on the season, all of which have come in the last two games.

There is very little in the run game from the Texans that scares anyone.  The Bengals will force the Texans to run the ball.  The Texans are nearly last in the NFL rushing the ball and only have 4 rushing TD's on the year.  Two of those TD's came from Arian Foster who of course is currently on the IR.

No comments:

Post a Comment