Friday, November 13, 2015

Week 10 Vegas Total Miami/Philadelphia

Miami +6
Philadelphia 49
Philly has a projected total of 27.5 and Miami is projected for
21.5.

DeMarco Murray ($6200) is averaging 23 touches per game over the last three weeks.  He currently has 5 total TD's on the season and I think he will have 10+ at seasons end.  The volume Murray is receiving warrants a much higher price tag.  As the 6th most expensive RB on the board this week, I think he still has value.  Miami is currently 2nd to last in the NFL of yards given up (142 YPG) on the ground. 

Murray is a strong recommendation for cash games.  Mathews caps his ceiling too much for GPP plays.

Ryan Mathews ($3500) does not have the same amount of touches on the season compared to Murray yet has the same amount TD's.  Mathews seems to be more efficient with the football in his hands while Murray has been grinding out the tough yards.  You will not see near the same volume from Mathews but his price tag sure is attractive going against a Miami defense who isn't keen on stopping the run.

Mathews is a decent play for cash games.  Murray caps his ceiling for GPP contests.

Lamar Miller ($5400) is halfway home to a 1200+ combined yard and 12 TD season.  That doesn't sound like  $5400 RB.  The Philly rush ranks in the middle (19th) on yards given up but has only given up 3 TD on the season.  This may not be the best match up for this physically gifted RB but his $5400 price tag reels me back in.

Miller is a mid grade recommendation for cash games.

Jordan Matthews ($6200)  finally had the game most of fantasy players were looking for being drafted in the mid 3rd to 5th rounds.  I'm not so sure he has fully gotten over his earlier drop problems.  It takes me more than one game to put full confidence in a player.  I would prefer to save money at other positions and spend more at WR for a possibility at more consistency.

Mathews has a very high ceiling and a very low floor.  He basically defines a GPP WR.

Jarvis Landry ($6700) is well on his way to 100 receptions.  The Eagles pass defense is ranked right in the middle of the NFL ranking 17th in yards given up.  Landry fits the mold of a Draft Kings (full point PPR) WR gobbling up catches.  He predictably hasn't reached the end zone very often though it isn't a complete impossibility.  Allen Robinson is priced the exact same, I feel like this is a stronger play.


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