Thursday, November 26, 2015

Week 12 Hail Mary Plays

Our Hail Mary Plays come from a fun mixture of emerging talent, relevant injuries to their position (opportunity), and a little bit of luck knocking on their door.

Last week we discussed the possibililities of Cody Latimer, Zach Ertz, and Dorial Green-Beackham.  While all three didn't hit big, for essentially a minimum price tag, they were at least on their way to a decent day.

1.  Zach Miller ($2900)
Chicago vs Green Bay
Miller now has three TD's on the season including a 100+ yard 2 TD performance against the Rams a couple weeks back.  Both Alshon Jeffery and Martellus Bennett have been ruled out for the Thanksgiving game against the Packers.  Based on volume alone, Miller makes a great Hail Mary Play.  Let's not forget just last week, Kyle Rudolph was able to go 6/106/1 against the Packers defense.  This could be a prime spot for Miller allowing you to spend big at the WR position.






2.  Spencer Ware ($3800)
Kansas City vs Buffalo
As of Thursday morning, it does not look like Charcandrick West is going to play.  Enter Spencer Ware who filled in nicely for West last week going 11/96/2.  The Chiefs continue to provide points to their RB no matter who is filling in.  The Bills have tough against the run but it is certainly not an impossible task.  Just last week, James White was able to add a couple TD's to his somewhat dismal day.  The week before, Chris Ivory tallied 99 yards rushing.  For a Hail Mary Play, the stars rarely align this cleanly.

3.  Thomas Rawls/Javorius Allen
Both backs have been hyped all week and rightfully so.  Both cost a bit more than the Hail Mary threshold I am looking for but should be on the list.  Both have talent and now both have an opportunity.

4.  Brent Celek ($3200)
Philadelphia vs Detroit
The Lions have been playing much better since the inventor of the modern car took over the front office.  That doesn't change the fact last week's Hail Mary, Zach Ertz, will be out for Week 12.  Celek has seen plenty of targets this season and has been quite efficient with those targets converting over
78% into catches.  Mark Sanchez is just keeping the seat warm for Bradford to come back off of his injury.  Over the last two weeks with Bradford out, Celek has received 11 receptions and 213 Yards.  He has 284 on the entire season.  This may be betting into a hot hand, but I think Sanchez is the house giving us the nod to take a seat at a hot table.

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