Wednesday, November 25, 2015

Week 12 Top 5 WR Plays

My current plan is to save on all positions and once again load up on the top tier WR's.  There are some match ups that are simply too hard to ignore.  I have a quick link to the NFL's Worst Pass Defenses and guess who sits at the top...

1.  DeAndre Hopkins ($9100)
Houston vs New Orleans
Hopkins may go down as the highest owned top tier player this season on DraftKings.  His high price should not scare anyone away this week.  The Saints are simply begging you to select Hopkins for all of your DFS line ups this week.  The Saints are an absolute travesty on defense ranking dead last in TD's (28) and 31st in yards given up.  The Texans have essentially told the world "WE ARE GOING TO THROW HOPKIN S THE BALL...STOP US".  No one has been able to stop this duo yet.
 Hopkins has 137 (league high) targets on the season and are now playing the worst defense on the face of the planet.  The stars have aligned for you to either bet with Hopkins or bet against him.  I will likely have cards falling on both sides.

2.  Antonio Brown ($8700)
Pittsburgh vs Seattle
The Seattle defense has had a rough couple last games.  Carson Palmer ended up carving up the Seattle defense for 363/3/1 just two weeks ago on prime time.  Blaine Gabbert, yes I said Blaine Gabbert, kept the 49ers in the game though falling short in the end.  He put up a respectable 264/1/0 against the Seattle defense that you can't pass on.  Roethlisberger and Antonio Brown are on the same page this year.  Just two weeks ago against Oakland, Brown saw an amazing 23 targets turning those targets into 284 yards.  This is a lethal duo I want to be a part of.  Gabbert was able to connect with Boldin for 93 yards and the week before, Palmer fed Michael Floyd the ball for a total of 113/2.

3.  DeSean Jackson ($5100)
Washington vs NY Giants
Kirk Cousins finds ways to good games against lesser opponents.  The Giants 32nd ranked pass defense should be considered a lesser opponent.  DeSean Jackson showed his speed in Week 11 getting behind the Carolina secondary and will likely find more room against a MUCH weaker Giant secondary.  Jackson is more of a GPP play as he has a ton of boom/bust potential, but can be considered in cash game line ups if you are able to work both Antonio Brown and DeAndre Hopkins in your line up.

4.  DeMaryius Thomas ($7400)
Denver vs New England
As long as Brock Osweiler is the QB for the Broncos, Thomas has value.  Thomas is fantasy relavant no matter who the QB is but his value gets stronger with Osweiler.  Thomas has more raw ability than anyone playing in this game.  Now that the Bronco offense is running properly, Thomas will
have much more opportunity playing the true "X" receiver in the Kubiak offense.  Malcom Butler has done a very good job shadowing the opposing team's #1 WR.  The Broncos may take a page out of the Texans page book and force feed Thomas the ball.  Sometimes, getting the ball to your best play maker is the medicine the doctor ordered.

5.  Larry Fitzgerald ($7400)
Arizona vs San Francisco
As mentioned earlier, the 49ers are spiraling out of control and the Cardinals are headed in the exact opposite direction.  The 49ers have allowed the opposing #1 WR's gaudy numbers.  As their season continues to derail, offenses will continue to pile up points against them.
Week 11 - Tyler Lockett - 4/48/2
Week 9 - Julio Jones - 10/137/0
Week 8 - Tavon Austin - 4/98/1
Week 7 - Tyler Lockett - 5/79/1
Week 6 - Steve Smith 7/137/1
Week 5 - Odell Beckham - 7/121/1
Week 4 - James Jones - 5/98/0
Week 3 - Larry Fitzgerald - 9/134/2
Week 2 - Antonio Brown - 9/195/1

That is 9 straight weeks of playing football where the 49er defense has given up a very good day to the opposing #1 WR.  It should be noted, if Michael Floyd is healthy and does play, he could easily dip into Fitzgerald's numbers.



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