Thursday, November 19, 2015

Week 11 TNF Jacksonville vs Tennessee

The Titans and Jaguars have one of the lower totals (44) on the board once again for TNF and again, that does not necessarily mean we can't find a gem or two hidden in this math up.

Don't forget to enter those contests with TNF players, many contestants constantly put themselves at a disadvantage filling out their entire roster with players from the game.

Jacksonville Passing
The Titans are sitting in dead last in the sad AFC South with a 2-7 record but don't let that fool you.  Their pass defense is 3rd in the NFL in yards given up.  They have allowed 16 passing TD's, but have only allowed one 300+ yard passer (Drew Brees Week 9 387) on the season.

I am a very big fan of Allen Robinson ($7000) but will not be using him in DFS this week.  Robinson has score in 5 of the last 6 weeks totaling 6 TD's.  Robinson is a must start in all season long leagues but I would shy away in DFS.  The same goes for Allen Hurns ($5800).  Hurns has scored a TD in each of the last 7 games including three 100+ yard performances in that same stretch.  While I will not be using them, both WR's have a legitimate chance at getting into the endzone.

Blake Bortles ($5900) hasn't played extremely well though his box scores indicate otherwise.  He really struggled last week against a Baltimore defense who is very thin in the secondary.  The Ravens had been giving up yards in bunches the previous weeks including a 457 yard performance against Josh McCown.  Bortles was only able to muster up 188/2/1 against this same defense.

For just $400 more, you can have Derek Carr ($6300) who has a much more attractive match up against the Detroit Lions.

TJ Yeldon ($4800) does have an attractive price and the Titans are considerably better defending the pass than the rush.  Yeldon is questionable (foot) coming into the game and looks to play but for $100 less, I would prefer to play Frank Gore ($4700) against the Falcons.

Tennessee Titans Offense
The Titans are 4th lowest in the league in scoring (169) and the Jags are 4th best in the league against the run.  They have given up 8 rushing TD's but with a less athletic Antonio Andrews ($3700) leading the way, the likelihood of a 100 yard rushing performance does not seem great.

Marcus Mariota ($5300) had a very rough performance last week against Carolina who is an extremely tough defense.  Mariota should fair much better this week but it is my contention, a much wiser decision would be to pay up a little more for QB.  Try to avoid a costly pitfall from a position you desperately need points from in order to place in any DFS contest.

The Jacksonville pass defense is susceptible ranking 24th in yards given up and allowing 17 TD's.  As one of my Hail Mary plays, I recommended Dorial Green-Beckham ($3200) in a post earlier this week.   Kendall Wright has already been ruled out and Justin Hunter (IR) fractured his ankle in Week 10.  This leaves the monstrous 6'5" DGB in a prime spot to help your GPP line up cards.

Delanie Walker ($4800) is one of those extremely athletic TE's that can have a big day.  Through Week 10, Walker sits at 503 receiving yards and 3 TD's.  That, by definition, is a pretty good TE.  Not a great TE and certainly not a bad TE.  He averages 6.2 targets per game.  For $100 less, I feel like your money is better spent on Travis Kelce ($4700).

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