Tuesday, December 1, 2015

Week 13 WR Plays

The Daily Fantasy Minute:  Where DFS advice is always free!

It's time to piggyback off of some of our QB research as we work our way through some of the top WR plays for Week 13.

1. A.J. Green ($7600)
Cincinnati vs Cleveland
I really don't like chasing TD's, in fact, I never chase TD's.  I prefer to look at the match ups and see what we can exploit moving into the coming week of football.  For some reason, the Rams chose not Green scored an easy 9 yard TD. The Browns come into Week 13 as the 25th ranked pass defense allowing 21 TD's and 265 YPG.  Joe Haden has been in and out of the Browns secondary but has not been lights out when active.  Green has averaged 10 targets per game over the last five weeks.  A.J. Green is a high floor/high ceiling type of player and this is the kind of match up we are looking to take advantage of.  Green makes sense in cash games as well as GPP contests.
to cover the best football player on the field this past week where

2.  Allen Robinson ($7300)
Jacksonville vs Tennessee
As of Wednesday, it does not appear Allen Hurns will be able to play in Week 13.  Hurns was stretchered off the field and was admitted to the hospital in Week 12.  This will undoubtedly increase targets for Robinson, an emerging top 10 NFL WR.  The Titans have been pretty strong against the pass on the season however they have had some issues the last couple weeks.  In Week 12, Seth Roberts and Amari Cooper combined for 228 yards and 2 TD's against the Titans secondary.  The week before, Robinson got them for another 113 yards.  Allen Robinson has had his way with just about any DB opposing teams have put on him.  In Week 9, Robinson torched Darrelle Revis for 6 catches and 121 yards.  The only game Robinson was held in check was against the Carolina Panthers.  In Week 1 Josh Norman shut him down for 27 yards on just one catch.  Unless the Titans trade for Josh Norman this week, Robinson should have another solid 100+ yard and 1+ TD day.

3.  Alshon Jeffery ($6900)
Chicago vs San Francisco
The 49ers are a much better home team (3-3) than a road team (0-5).  They have a -119 point differential on the season and while Blaine Gabbert has surprisingly slowed the bleeding, this team
will have a top 5 pick in the upcoming draft and likely be looking to replace their one and done head coach.  This game is in Chicago and has a low total of 42.  The Bears are projected for 24 of those 42 points.  Jeffery is as healthy as he's going to get this season.  When healthy, Jeffery has received 12.8 targets per game.  He has efficiently turned those targets into 605 yards and 2 TD's over a 6 game span.  He's safe to fire up against a SF defense who has yielded big days to a plethora of varying WR's over the season.


4.  Emmanuel Sanders ($6500)
Denver Broncos vs San Diego
The Chargers come into Week 13 as the 22nd ranked pass defense and the 26th ranked defense allowing 12 rushing TD's on the season.  The Broncos are now running the Kubiak system as it was designed and that means allowing the run to set up the pass.  The running game is cooking right now which in turn makes the play action pass very difficult to defend.  Both Demaryius Thomas ($7200) and Emmanuel Sanders ($6500) should have chances for the "shot plays" down field.  Sanders is making money in the slot and ranks second on the team in targets while also leading the team in receiving TD's (4).   Both Thomas and Sanders are strong plays this week.  Sanders is a better cash game play while Thomas makes a better GPP.  Thomas' inconsistency makes him scary but also has that 2 TD game in him.

5.  Jeremy Maclin ($5200)
KC vs Oakland
Isn't it interesting when Alex Smith decides to push the ball down the field?  Maclin showed he can still catch the deep ball against the Bills in Week 12.  Not that any of us really ever questioned his ability to do so.  It was more about Alex Smith believing in his own ability to get it there.  Maclin
caught balls netting in plays of 41 (TD), 37, and 32 yards.  He now faces an Oakland secondary who is ranked 29th in the NFL against the pass.  Maclin continues to be targeted in large doses and he has been turning those into very nice games.  Due to his large volume, Maclin makes sense for both cash games as well as GPP tournament line ups.

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