I like to break down rushing defenses into two different categories. 1. Yardage 2. TD's
Yardage
| RK | TEAM | ATT | YDS | YDS/A | LONG | TD | YDS/G |
| 27 | Philadelphia | 320 | 1393 | 4.4 | 84 | 4 | 126.6 |
| Washington | 297 | 1393 | 4.7 | 70 | 5 | 126.6 | |
| 29 | Chicago | 295 | 1414 | 4.8 | 30 | 3 | 128.5 |
| 30 | New Orleans | 304 | 1479 | 4.9 | 45 | 8 | 134.5 |
| 31 | Cleveland | 326 | 1492 | 4.6 | 54 | 9 | 135.6 |
| 32 | Miami | 360 | 1523 | 4.2 | 48 | 9 | 138.5 |
TD's
| RK | TEAM | ATT | YDS | YDS/A | LONG | TD | YDS/G |
| 27 | Green Bay | 297 | 1241 | 4.2 | 55 | 10 | 112.8 |
| 28 | Dallas | 289 | 1176 | 4.1 | 39 | 11 | 106.9 |
| 29 | San Diego | 278 | 1361 | 4.9 | 65 | 12 | 123.7 |
| San Francisco | 324 | 1332 | 4.1 | 71 | 12 | 121.1 | |
| 31 | Atlanta | 285 | 1065 | 3.7 | 37 | 13 | 96.8 |
| 32 | Detroit | 310 | 1237 | 4 | 75 | 15 | 112.5 |
While the Lions have given up a league worst 15 rushing TD's, it should be noted they have only given up one over the last three weeks since the start of their much better play.
1. DeAngelo Williams ($5600)
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis
Williams ability to catch the pass makes him extremely valuable on DraftKings. The Colts rank 24th in rushing yards given up and have only given up 9 rushing TD's thus far. With Roethlisberger healthy, the entire Steelers cast are more than viable DFS options. Williams price is extremely attractive. This game is tied for the second highest total of the day at 48.5. The Steelers (-6) are
projected for 27 of the 48.5 making them the third highest projected total of the day behind New England and Carolina. Williams role will be two fold here. Role 1: As Roethlisberger continues to attempt 45+ passes per game, Williams will continue to benefit. In six games where Williams played in more than 50 snaps, he has totaled 19 receptions. Role 2: The assumption is, the Steelers will get a lead (favored by 6) and need to finish off the game by running the ball. While I don't see this Steeler offense playing it too safe, there will be a time when running the ball is critical. Williams continues to show he still has the wheels to break open the long run. In his somewhat limited time, he has long runs of 28, 55, and 53 on the season. Williams looks like a great play for both GPP and cash game line ups for Week 13.
2. Jonathan Stewart ($5300)
Carolina vs New Orleans
Ironically enough, there are many similarities we can share between Jonathan Stewart and DeAndgelo Williams going into Week 13. The biggest difference is the Saints. Even with this being an NFC South match up, the Panthers (-7) should get up BIG in this game. This game is the highest total (49.5) of the week and while Newton pillages many of the rushing TD's, Stewart should receive a large volume of work. While he hasn't been extensively in the passing game this year, he certainly has that ability. The Saints are an obvious train wreck on defense and have given up a horrendous amount of receiving yards to opposing RB's. Stewart averages 20 rushes per game and should see a bit more this week when the Panthers get up. This game shapes up for Stewart to be a strong suggestion for both GPP and cash contests. I have a green light on Stewart this week.
3. Javorius Allen ($5400)
Baltimore vs Miami
The Dolphins are giving up 138.5 YPG on the ground this season. Javorius Allen is the last man standing in the Baltimore backfield and looks pretty good doing it. He was a rookie I liked very much coming into the season. Allen will get a full rushing workload and will add several catches to
his day as well. The poor Dolphins are stuck in the mud at this point in the season with very little to play for. Matt Schaub will slow down any offense he touches. He loves sharing the ball with both teams. I don't see a large amount of offensive production from the Ravens as a whole but I do see Allen as a nice bargain this week at his price against a terrible rush defense.
4. C.J. Anderson ($3500)
Denver vs San Diego
Remember when Anderson saved fantasy football seasons about this time a year ago? It sure feels like it could happen again. As the Broncos are running the Kubiak offense correctly, the running game is cooking! I want a part of it and for the price of $3500, it's really hard to turn down. Anderson's power running style fits this scheme and makes him a terrific GL back. He has nice hands adding to his DraftKings value this week against a weak Chargers defense. He will be part of a committee, but quite honestly, both he and Hillman ($4500) will have value this week. The price reduction of $1K and his better fit in this offense makes him more appealing to my eyes. He does make a better GPP play than cash due to his low floor.
5. David Johnson ($3400)
Arizona vs St. Louis
Truth be told, I did not like what I saw from David Johnson when I was doing my season long fantasy research. I haven't wavered a ton from my initial research but I have a little. What I do like is he comes into one of NFL's most potent offenses as the lead rusher with a very good set of hands as a
receiver. Johnson will get his touches in large volume and that is hard to shy away from for less than $3500. The Rams have not been tremendous against the rush. Recently, they have given up big games to Jeremy Hill (16/86/0), Jeremy Langford (20/73/1 rushing & 7/109/1 receiving), and Adrian Peterson (29/125/1). If the Rams continue to sputter on offense, the field may be short for Arizona throughout the game. I don't know how high the ceiling is for Johnson this week but do think he has a very high floor making him a better cash play than GPP for Week 13.
Follow me on Twitter @Brian_Eilering
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis
Williams ability to catch the pass makes him extremely valuable on DraftKings. The Colts rank 24th in rushing yards given up and have only given up 9 rushing TD's thus far. With Roethlisberger healthy, the entire Steelers cast are more than viable DFS options. Williams price is extremely attractive. This game is tied for the second highest total of the day at 48.5. The Steelers (-6) are projected for 27 of the 48.5 making them the third highest projected total of the day behind New England and Carolina. Williams role will be two fold here. Role 1: As Roethlisberger continues to attempt 45+ passes per game, Williams will continue to benefit. In six games where Williams played in more than 50 snaps, he has totaled 19 receptions. Role 2: The assumption is, the Steelers will get a lead (favored by 6) and need to finish off the game by running the ball. While I don't see this Steeler offense playing it too safe, there will be a time when running the ball is critical. Williams continues to show he still has the wheels to break open the long run. In his somewhat limited time, he has long runs of 28, 55, and 53 on the season. Williams looks like a great play for both GPP and cash game line ups for Week 13.
2. Jonathan Stewart ($5300)
Carolina vs New Orleans
Ironically enough, there are many similarities we can share between Jonathan Stewart and DeAndgelo Williams going into Week 13. The biggest difference is the Saints. Even with this being an NFC South match up, the Panthers (-7) should get up BIG in this game. This game is the highest total (49.5) of the week and while Newton pillages many of the rushing TD's, Stewart should receive a large volume of work. While he hasn't been extensively in the passing game this year, he certainly has that ability. The Saints are an obvious train wreck on defense and have given up a horrendous amount of receiving yards to opposing RB's. Stewart averages 20 rushes per game and should see a bit more this week when the Panthers get up. This game shapes up for Stewart to be a strong suggestion for both GPP and cash contests. I have a green light on Stewart this week.
3. Javorius Allen ($5400)
Baltimore vs Miami
The Dolphins are giving up 138.5 YPG on the ground this season. Javorius Allen is the last man standing in the Baltimore backfield and looks pretty good doing it. He was a rookie I liked very much coming into the season. Allen will get a full rushing workload and will add several catches to his day as well. The poor Dolphins are stuck in the mud at this point in the season with very little to play for. Matt Schaub will slow down any offense he touches. He loves sharing the ball with both teams. I don't see a large amount of offensive production from the Ravens as a whole but I do see Allen as a nice bargain this week at his price against a terrible rush defense.
4. C.J. Anderson ($3500)
Denver vs San Diego
Remember when Anderson saved fantasy football seasons about this time a year ago? It sure feels like it could happen again. As the Broncos are running the Kubiak offense correctly, the running game is cooking! I want a part of it and for the price of $3500, it's really hard to turn down. Anderson's power running style fits this scheme and makes him a terrific GL back. He has nice hands adding to his DraftKings value this week against a weak Chargers defense. He will be part of a committee, but quite honestly, both he and Hillman ($4500) will have value this week. The price reduction of $1K and his better fit in this offense makes him more appealing to my eyes. He does make a better GPP play than cash due to his low floor.
5. David Johnson ($3400)
Arizona vs St. Louis
Truth be told, I did not like what I saw from David Johnson when I was doing my season long fantasy research. I haven't wavered a ton from my initial research but I have a little. What I do like is he comes into one of NFL's most potent offenses as the lead rusher with a very good set of hands as a receiver. Johnson will get his touches in large volume and that is hard to shy away from for less than $3500. The Rams have not been tremendous against the rush. Recently, they have given up big games to Jeremy Hill (16/86/0), Jeremy Langford (20/73/1 rushing & 7/109/1 receiving), and Adrian Peterson (29/125/1). If the Rams continue to sputter on offense, the field may be short for Arizona throughout the game. I don't know how high the ceiling is for Johnson this week but do think he has a very high floor making him a better cash play than GPP for Week 13.
Follow me on Twitter @Brian_Eilering
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