If you followed along last week, it was my theory to save as much money as possible allowing you to pay up for the big time WR's. The theory paid off in spades. The way my line ups were constructed, I cashed out seven of the eight contests I entered more than doubling my investment for the week.
This week may have a similar tone to it, let's take a look at the best WR options as we piece our DFS puzzles together.
1. Antonio Brown ($9300)
Pittsburgh -9.5
Baltimore 48.5
Wow, that is a VERY high price to pay for the WR position. I'm willing to pay it! You are witnessing HOF caliber play from one of the best wide outs I have ever seen play the game. You can very easily make the Jerry Rice comparisons, but that is another story for another day. Coming into Week 15, Denver had not allowed a single WR to gain more than 36 yards the previous three weeks. In comes Roethlisberger/Brown and they absolutely torch the Broncos. Brown racked up 16 catches against a secondary who had only given up 15 TOTAL receptions the previous three weeks combined! Here are Brown's video game like numbers going back to Week 9 vs Oakland.
| Week | Opponent | Receptions | Yards | TD |
| 9 | Oakland | 17 | 284 | 0 |
| 10 | Cleveland | 10 | 139 | 2 |
| 11 | Bye | |||
| 12 | Seattle | 6 | 51 | 0 |
| 13 | Indianapolis | 8 | 118 | 2 |
| 14 | Cincinatti | 7 | 87 | 0 |
| 15 | Denver | 16 | 189 | 2 |
| Total | 64 | 868 | 6 | |
| Average | 10.7 | 144.7 | 1 |
Baltimore is struggling on both sides of the ball. This game could easily become very one sided as the Steelers opened as nearly double digit favorites. Brown will have to put up a 27.9 point day to pay off 3x value. Brown has put up more than 40 points in two of the last three weeks. Brown is more than capable of giving us a return on our investment. The Ravens secondary could easily be the last piece of the puzzle we need to fire up Brown in all DFS formats.
2. Allen Robinson ($7500)
Jacksonville 51.5
New Orleans -3.5
This could very well be my favorite play of the day. Brandon Browner benefited from covering a gimpy Calvin Johnson on MNF. The same will not be true this week where Browner will be forced to cover a true elite top tier WR. Allen Robinson is simply having a remarkable season and Blake Bortles is well aware of his capabilities. Robinson has nearly doubled the next closest player in Red Zone targets (Robinson 21/Hurns 12) this season and he has made the most of those opportunities. He has turned those targets into a league leading 13 receiving TD's (tied with two others). Robinson has serious big play ability and an amazing talent to high point the football. Robinson will be among the top five WR's chosen in your season long drafts this coming year. My recommendation...pay the price! The Saints are a dream match up for Bortles/Hurns/Robinson. This game has the highest total on the board making Robinson a great start for all DFS games. Later discussed, he will be a "Tent Pole" in my line up cards this week.
3. Jeremy Maclin ($6000)
Cleveland 45
Kansas City -12.5
Does anyone remember a time when Chiefs WR's couldn't catch a touchdown? I vaguely remember something being said about it. Jeremy Maclin has changed that stat where he now has six receiving TD's on the season. I love finding value in the $6000 price range. Jeremy Maclin has averaged 10 targets over his last four games converting those targets into 374 yards and four touchdowns. The Browns defensive woes continue where they lost their best DB, Joe Haden, to season ending injury prior to Week 15. The Browns are only projected for 16.25 of the total Vegas has put on this game leaving more than 28 points for the Chiefs to gobble up. Look For Maclin to be spread around the field as Andy Reid moves his chess piece around attempting to prey open the long play. Maclin is a very consistent player in terms of fantasy and his high floor makes him a tremendous cash game play. Alex Smith still refuses to consistently push the ball down the field so the ceiling for Maclin is quite limited. Maclin does not make a great GPP play this week.
4. Golden Tate ($5800)
San Francisco 40.5
Detroit -8.5
As we watched Calvin Johnson limp around the field on MNF, there was a beneficiary, Golden Tate. While Calvin only saw one target in the game, Golden Tate caught all six of his targets putting two of the in the end zone. Tate has averaged 8.5 targets per game over the last four games and has been able to turn those targets into five TD's in as many games. The 49ers are awful coming across country, especially for an early start. They are only projected for 16 points in this contest while the Lions are projected for 24.5. Matthew Stafford has been very efficient lately.
Matthew Stafford has a 68.2% completion rate & 14:2 TD:INT ratio since #Lions Week 9 bye. DET is 4-2, with both losses by 7 points or less.
— Evan Silva (@evansilva) December 22, 2015
Golden Tate has five of his six touchdowns in this same stretch while we have seen the targets for Calvin Johnson go from 14, 8, 5, 1 over the last four weeks. It is clear the health of Johnson is limiting his play and Golden Tate is making the most of his opportunity. Tate has yet to top 100 yards this season limiting his GPP possibilities but his consistency makes him a great cash play for Week 16. 5. Michael Floyd ($4900)
Green Bay 49
Arizona -4
I will continue to pound the table for Michael Floyd. He is the best WR the Cardinals have on their roster and Carson Palmer is aware of it. He is playing extremely well and Palmer trusts his down field big play abilities. Floyd makes a tremendous catch on this ball. He has the presence of mind to keep the defender at bay, catch the ball with one hand, all while getting his knee down to complete the reception. The Cardinals are a wonderful football team with many great pieces but as Larry Fitzgerald nears closer to the end of his HOF career, Michael Floyd is making a serious pitch to be the Cardinals top WR for the foreseeable future. Floyd is under priced each week and that allows us to find value in the best WR on the most explosive offense. Vegas is projecting the Cardinals for 26.5 of the total 49. This game is the 2nd highest total on the board this week and if the Packers can get their offense back on track, the game a a legitimate chance to go over the total. The Cardinals lost one of their best defensive (Tyrann Mathieu) players to season ending injury this week which should free up some green space for the Packers to roam. Michael Floyd has led the team in targets (29) over the last three weeks giving him the high floor we are looking for in our cash game line ups. His big play ability allows us to consider him for GPP line ups as well but the wealth of other pass catching weapons on the Cardinals does limit his potential.
Week 16 QB Plays
I answer any and all fantasy and DFS questions!
Tweet Me @Brian_Eilering
Email me Br_Eilering@yahoo.com
No comments:
Post a Comment