Week 2 QB Plays - #DFS

Free DFS Advice - All Free Premium Content

As I go through these selections, I typically take all aspects of the game into consideration including match ups, price, and potential roster strategy.  I may not roster every selection here but the case can certainly be made for their usage.

NO Saints +5
NY Giants 53

This match up will be featured all week long.  It is the highest total on the board and should be considered in all formats as you begin constructing your line ups.

Drew Brees ($8200)
I would exercise caution here as Brees is the most expensive QB on the board.  It is very tantalizing for sure but his price is steep! One of my favorite stacks of the week includes a much cheaper QB, Matt Ryan.  Brees will make a tremendous option this week.  He will be very highly owned in DFS, making him the chalk play in what could be 30% of line ups.  I  may pivot to some lesser owned players.

Eli Manning ($7600)
You aren't getting much of a discount here.  The reason being, the Saints defense is so stinking lousy, every QB's price will be bumped up accordingly.  The poor Saints lost their top DB Delvin Breaux for 6 weeks.  He was the lone bright spot in this secondary.  Manning and company should be in for a huge day.  I would not shy away from starting any player on the Giants roster.  It should be that kind of day and Vegas agrees.  53 is a big number, I think it could easily hit 60.

Matt Ryan ($6800)
Atlanta +4.5
Oakland 49.5
The price difference between Brees and Ryan is substantial enough to consider.  Oakland just gave up over 400 yards and 4 TD's to the Saints.  In comes Matt Ryan who had over 320 yards and 2 TD's himself in Week 1.  We were told all off season how much stronger this Raiders defense was going to be, Drew Brees must not have been listening.  Mohammed Sanu finally gives Ryan the second target he so desperately needed.  Sanu caught 5 of the 8 targets thrown his way totaling 59 yards and a score.  While the Falcons defense may still be suspect, I am not afraid of their offense.  I think Ryan is a great bargain this week.

Joe Flacco ($6500)
Baltimore -6.5
Cleveland 43
The Browns just gave up 278/2/0 to a rookie QB on a bad offense.  While I am not convinced the Ravens are exactly a high flying offense, they are certainly more adept than Philly.  I believe Cleveland and LA Rams are going to fight it out for the top pick in next years draft.  Flacco has just enough weapons to put up a formidable 300/2/0 type afternoon handsomely rewarding us for being bargain shoppers.  Flacco may not be the best GPP play as I feel like his upside is limited, but he does make a fantastic cash game player.

There are quite a few good looking QB match ups this week.  In the essence of time, I will simply take note of several that catch my eye.
In order of price:

Josh McCown ($5000): You have to trust that the Cleveland offense will be better with McCown than RG3.  For the basement price DK offers for QB's, it may be a gamble worth taking allowing for more dollars spent at other positions similar to Dak Prescott last week.

Trevor Siemian ($5200): Has very limited upside but facing Indy and their lackluster defense.  They lost their top 2 DB's last week and didn't have any to lose.  Good cash play, not GPP.

Dak Prescott ($5800):  $800 more expensive than last week.  Still a good bargain.  Prescott had 45 attempts in Week 1 vs the NYG secondary.  A lot of dinks and dunks, might turn it loose a little more vs Washington who struggled mightily vs the Steelers.

Marcus Mariota ($6000): Still a good price against a poor Lions defense who just gave up 385/4/0 to Andrew Luck.  Still limited upside, better cash play.

Andy Dalton ($6400):  Really an attractive price against a Steelers defense that had major lapses last year.  Not a ton of upgrades on D, Dalton could easily outperform price.

Carson Palmer ($6900):  Another nice price for a top level QB facing a weak secondary.  Facing TB who just gave up nice day to Matt Ryan.  Positive outlook for Palmer Week 2.

Derek Carr ($7200): Facing a below average Falcon defense with zero pass rush for the 29th straight season.  Winston 281/4/1 last week vs Falcons (no sacks once again).

Cam Newton ($7900): A little too pricey for me but 49ers will rank in bottom 3 of teams this season.  Week 1 vs Rams was a mirage.  Newton could have massive day Week 2.

I appreciate any and all feedback.

Br_Eilering@yahoo.com
@Brian_Eilering

Week 16 D/ST Plays

The Daily Fantasy Minute:  Where your DFS advice is always free!

Before we jump into the D/ST Plays for Week 16, let's first take a quick glance at our cheat sheet.

1.  Low Vegas Point Total
2.  Home Team
3.  Facing A New/Inexperienced QB
4.  Favorite in Vegas

1.  Detroit ($2800)
San Francisco 40.5
Detroit -8.5
This game absolutely JUMPS off the page when selecting a D/ST for Week 16.  It is the lowest total of the day in Veagas.  Coupled with that, the Lions are a huge HOME favorite.  The stars have aligned for us to fire up this $2800 defense with full confidence.  The 49ers struggles on the road are well documented.  In addition, this is an early start handing the 49ers a huge uphill battle before ever touching the field.  The Lions have played pretty well defensively as of late.  Darius Slay is emerging as a top tier DB in the NFL.  He has only allowed 15 yards receiving on throws to his zone over the last three games.  The 49ers are not exactly loaded at talent on either side of the ball.  Their latest full time running back Shaun Draughn is now limited and I have serious reservations on how effective he will be on Sunday.  The Lions D/ST makes all the sense in the world this week.  I would not hesitate to use them in any and all DFS/fantasy formats.

2.  Seattle ($4300)
St. Louis 40.5
Seattle -14
The only reason Seattle is not my #1 selection this week is the $1500 price different between them and Detroit.  Seattle is as hot as any team in the NFL on both sides of the ball.  Their defense has only allowed two TD's in the last three games winning each game by an average of over 25 points in each contest.  The Rams are only projected for 13.25 of the 40.5 total Vegas put on the game.  The Seahawks are heavy favorites, at home, low scoring total, facing a lousy Rams offense.  They have checked off every single box, but you will have to pay up for them.  Seattle might be the heaviest owned D/ST in DFS this week, fading them for the Lions could be a very smart play and eventually win you some money.

3.  Denver ($3400)
Cincinatti 42
Denver -3.5
Despite what the Steelers just did to the Broncos, the Broncos still have the strongest defense in the NFL.  The Panthers are a very close second but I feel like the Broncos have a better overall defense.  DeMarcus Ware looks like he is getting healthier as his snap count has risen in each of the last two weeks.  Couple him with Von Miller who has 10 sacks all to himself, they have a very strong pass rush.  The Bengals are very capable on offense.  The only problem is, they are missing their signal caller.  A.J. McCarron will not be asked to do near as much as they were asking Andy Dalton to do but the Broncos will show him more looks than he is use to seeing.  McCarron is a fine young quarterback but getting your third professional start against this defense could prove too much for an inexperienced QB.  Denver has a more attractive price than Seattle.  They may very well be the second highest owned D/ST in DFS this week.  

Week 16 TE Plays
Week 16 RB Plays
Week 16 QB Plays


I answer any and all fantasy and DFS questions

Tweet me @Brian_Eilering
Email me Br_Eilering@yahoo.com