Without having the massive savings at the RB position, you will have to spend a little more wisely this week at the WR position. I tentatively made a LU for a large GPP I won a ticket for last week. It is vastly different than what I was able to construct just one week ago. The biggest reason is due to the pricing of RB's and not having that easy $/workload ratio to take advantage of.
Let's get to the WR's, in order of price:
Odell Beckham Jr ($9500)
New Orleans +5NY Giants 53
I know it's easy to cherry pick ODB any given week, but this one is extra special. He will need to hit 34 to reach his GPP ROI of 4x. I don't see that as a problem. The Saints don't have anyone that can cover ODB. He is going to go off just as the rest of this offense will. I have already put him in my GPP LU's and will not shy away from him in my cash games either. He will be highly owned.
Julio Jones ($9200)
Atlanta +4.5
Oakland 49.5
For you new readers, you are probably thinking, boy this guy is CRAZY writing about ODB and Julio! I rarely write about the top few WR's unless their match up is so juicy I can not lay off. I think the Ryan/Julio stack makes a ton of sense this week for your GPP contests. Manning/ODB will be more widely owned so you might get a slight advantage here. The Raiders just gave up a 400 yard 4 TD day to Drew Bress in Week 1. The Falcons had over 320 and 2 TD's their own vs the Buccaneers. The Falcons had a tough time running the ball Week 1 with Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman. I fully expect this trend to continue in Week 2. The Falcons will need to attack the weakness of the Raiders and that is not up the middle where Khalil Mack resides. For a total price of $16,000, I like the Jones/Ryan stack. Most fantasy owners are still not very keen of Ryan, now is a good time to take advantage.
Kelvin Benjamin ($6500)
San Fran +13
Carolina 45.5
The Panthers are basically slated for roughly 30 points in this contest while the poor 49ers are in line for just under 2 TD's. Carolina will BLOW out SF this week. SF is a bad football team and somehow the Rams made them look like playoff contenders. Benjamin was targeted a monster 12 times against a stingy Denver D in Week 1. He converted those 12 targets into a 6/91/1 stat line. I fully expect more of the same in Week 2. Benjamin took a few nasty low hits around his knees and showed no signs of it bothering him. I think he erased everyone's thoughts of him being hampered by his knee injury forcing him to miss the entire 2015 season.Willie Snead ($5800)
New Orleans +5
NY Giants 53
Willie Snead looks like he could be the co-WR1 in this offense. He caught all nine of his targets totaling 9/172/1. The Giants pass defense was dead last in 2015 and this game will have a TON of scoring all day long. Snead is priced in the middle tier while his production shows he could easily be priced in the upper tier. Brees shows full trust in Snead evidenced by his targets. There will be many weeks where Cooks/Snead are very useful WR's in this offense and Week 2 vs the Giants is a prime example. Another great example of $/workload looks like a tremendous bargain.
Travis Benjamin ($4400)
Jacksonville +3
San Diego 47
With the unfortunate injury to Keenan Allen, the Phillip Rivers targets have to be spread out somewhere. I believe the wealth will be spread out considerably amongst several players. The loss of Allen will slow down the entire offense but Rivers will still throw the ball. The price of Benjamin is worthy of a look. Benjamin hauled in 7 of his 8 targets in Week 1 for a pedestrian 32 yards. It would only take one missed tackle from the Jags for Benjamin to have a much stronger fantasy day.Tajae Sharp ($4100)
Tennessee +7
Detroit 47
I said last week that Sharp looks to be the clear WR1 in this Titans offense. He proved just that totaling 11 targets bringing in 7 of those for 76 yards. His volume is extremely high for his price. Sharp is a great bargain for cash games. He makes a decent fill in for GPP contests but the Titans offense limits his ultimate production. The Lions showed vulnerability in the pass game last week giving up 385 yards and 4 TD's to the Colts while not coming up with any INT's.
Tyrell Williams ($3700)
Jacksonville +3San Diego 47
Williams stands 6'4" and 205 lbs. He has the prototypical size of an elite WR. Williams is currently #3 on the depth chart but could easily see himself rise with a good performance. With Kennan Allen out, Williams has a chance to see an increased roll in this offense. Williams saw 5 targets in Week 1 where he caught 2 for 71 yards.
Marvin Jones ($5500)/Golden Tate ($6800)
Tennessee +7
Detroit 47
Based on Week 1, Marvin Jones is the much better bargain here. Per @MikeTagliereNFL , I found this stat interesting this week.
Average Depth Of Target:
Golden Tate - 1.3 Yards
Riddick - 1.8 Yards
Boldin - 2.0 yards
Abdullah 0.4 Yards
Marvin Jones - 12.0 Yards
That is not to say the game script can't change in Week 2, but it does offer clear evidence how the coaching staff tends to use their offensive weapons.
It should be noted, Jones was targeted 10 times only catching 4 of them. This can easily be attributed to the above depth of target stat.
On the other hand, Tate caught all seven of his targets though his yardage (41 Yards) was considerably lower.
I think Jones is the better buy here due to his price. Tate will have to find himself a little further downfield in Week 2 before I give him my trust once again. I have not given up on him by any means. I do own him in Dynasty as well as several season long leagues I am in.
I answer any and all fantasy and DFS questions
Br_Eilering@yahoo.com
@Brian_Eilering
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