I always like to start by searching for the worst ranked passing defenses before looking for our QB/WR values and premier plays.
| RK | TEAM | ATT | COMP | PCT | YDS | YDS/A | TD | YDS/G |
| 28 | San Francisco | 391 | 270 | 69.1 | 3045 | 8.1 | 17 | 277 |
| 29 | Oakland | 455 | 285 | 62.6 | 3110 | 7.1 | 19 | 283 |
| 30 | Pittsburgh | 423 | 284 | 67.1 | 3120 | 7.8 | 22 | 284 |
| 31 | New Orleans | 375 | 253 | 67.5 | 3126 | 8.8 | 30 | 284 |
| 32 | NY Giants | 439 | 292 | 66.5 | 3401 | 7.9 | 20 | 309 |
1. Cam Newton ($7400)
Carolina vs New Orleans
It seems so easy to take advantage of the lackluster Saints defense each and every week but sometimes, you just don't out think the room. The Saints are 31st against the pass and 30th against the run. Cam Newton is excelling in both categories right now. Newton is currently tied for 3rd in the NFL with seven rushing TD's including three of them over the last four weeks. He has also piled up nine passing TD's in the same stretch. The Saints continue to fall apart while the Panthers continue to dominate their opponents winning by an average margin of victory of 18 points over the last four weeks. The Carolina defense puts their offense in good field position allowing them to score 30.2 PPG on average over the course of the season.
2. Tom Brady ($8000)
New England vs Philadelphia
I realize I have selected the top two priced QB's coming into Week 13 however the Eagles are simply crumbling in front of our eyes. They have given up five passing TD's in each of the last two games and 15 over the last four. Brady is missing many weapons but continues to throw the ball 40 times a game. If Gronkowski is out, look for Scott Chandler ($2500) and Brandon LaFell ($4800) to pick up the slack. Brady and company coming off a loss to Denver and will be ready to get back on the winning track where they rarely lose two straight games in the Brady/Belichick era. The last time they lost two in a row was back in 2012 which spans a 56 game streak. This game is also in New England once again stacking the odds against the Eagles.
3. Ryan Fitzpatrick ($5200)
NY Jets vs NY Giants
Fitzpatrick may be the best value QB on the DraftKings board this week. The Giants are giving up a league worst 309 YPG on the NFL season. Fitzpatrick will have a much lower ceiling than either Brady or Newton but his low floor makes him a safer pick this week.
4. Matt Hasselbeck ($5300)
Indianapolis vs Pittsburgh
We are all aware Hasselbeck is 40 and his arm strength has diminished. It should also be noted Frank Gore looks every bit of 32 right now. As Chuck Pagano noted on Monday, Frank Gore is "beat to crap". The Steelers are very strong stopping the run, this should lend to more passing situations for the Colts. Similar to Fitzpatrick, Hasselbeck will not have gaudy numbers but his floor should be pretty low this week. He is averaging 255 YPG and and 1.75 PTD per game. Those numbers should tick up a bit against a Steelers secondary who really doesn't care to make tackles at times.
5. Brock Osweiler ($5200)
Denver vs San Diego
Over the last four weeks, the Chargers have given up 300+ yard games against Blake Bortles, Jay Cutler, and Joe Flacco. Osweiler falls into the same category with Hasselbeck and Fitzpatrick where their ceiling is lower but so is their floor. The Broncos ground game is now working with Osweiler running the Kubiak offense as it was designed. This allow the entire offense to work more efficiently. Demaryius Thomas was off his game against the Patriots on Sunday night but that didn't keep Osweiler from targeting him 13 times through the course of the game. The tight ends are now again a part of the offense coupled with Emmanuel Sanders playing some very gritty work in the slot. The Broncos offense will continue to improve as these pieces get to know each other and develop some chemistry.
Follow me on Twitter @Brian_Eilering
No comments:
Post a Comment