Hail Mary picks are just as they sound. The success rate is built in to their price. There is a higher percentage chance these don't hit but if you go with your "stars & scrubs" approach, finding these picks is essential for success. These plays are not recommended for your cash games. There is a fair chance they give you a big fat zero making them a better GPP play than cash.
I have made it clear on other posts that I will be going with a different approach but if you are looking for some very inexpensive WR's/TE's to outperform their price, here are some selections to consider.
Last season, I had a very high success rate of hitting on these bargains. I will say finding them in Week 1 will be more difficult than mid season. There is less data both offensively and defensively to utilize.
My Hail Mary picks are typically $3500 or less though I may cheat a little here and there depending on the week.
1. Tyler Boyd ($3600)
Look at that, right off the bat, I cheated by $100. The Bengals are short their top flight TE Tyler Eifert. They also let their other secondary WR's (Marvin Jones/M. Sanu) walk in FA this past season. This leaves Boyd opposite AJ Green to suck up the targets. Brandon LaFell isn't scaring anyone with his skills. He is spotty at best with consistency. This pick may be a little premature, but for Week 1 and the price, Boyd makes a lot of sense.2. Tajae Sharp ($3000)
Sharp is making is case to be the WR1 in Tennessee. Rishard Matthews may get more early work as Sharp gets accustom to the NFL and this new offense. Sharp has had a great pre-season and makes a perfect boom/bust selection for DFS Week 1.
3. Clive Walford ($3000)
The Saints do not appear to have improved greatly on defense. They should still be a defense we target heavily in 2016 when we construct our DFS selections. Derek Carr came into his own last season and year three should be another growth year in terms of maturity in this Oakland offense. Walford received very little attention at the start of 2015. His targets grew as the season progressed where he peaked in Weeks 14 & 15 with 7 targets each game. Walford is another young player primed to grow in a developing offense. If you are looking to save money at the TE, Walford makes a strong selection.
4. Jared Cook ($2900)
Cook is the prototypical boom/bust player. He has an amazing skill set which has teased us all over his entire career. I have fell prey to him in seasons past. Now, he comes into a GB offense with arguably (not in my eyes) the best QB in the game. If Jordy Nelson is back to form, defenses (Jacksonville this week) will be forced to roll coverage on him. This will leave both Randall Cobb and Jared Cook a little more free to roam the middle of the field where they do their best work. In another cash saving move, Cook may prove as a savvy play in Week 1 DFS.I appreciate any and all feedback
Br_Eilering@yahoo.com
@Brian_Eilering
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