Week 11 MNF Buffalo vs New England

Once again the Patriots are projected for the most points on the NFL slate.

The Vegas projected total:
New England 29.5
Buffalo 21

New England Offense
It will be hard for Brady to top what Cam Newton (33.9) did this past weekend however back in week 2, Brady did just that hitting 466 yards and 3 TD's against these Bills.  That was with a whole different player list though.  Since that week 2 game, Edelman and Dion Lewis have both been lost for the regular season.  In addition, Brandon LaFell has come back from his early season injury.

Among all of these changes, the Patriots remain reliable for scoring 27+ points per game.  The trick is, figuring out which player we like for these points in DFS each week.  Danny Amendola ($4000) emerged as one of the better value plays for Week 11.  I do believe Amendola will be somewhat of a plug & play type player for the Edelman role though it will not be quite as seamless as most would like to think.  The targets will come his way but look for more of a 7/65/0 type of performance from Amendola tonight.  Look for Gronkowksi ($7700) to have similar number to what he did in Week 2 vs the Bills where he posted a 7/113/1 stat line.

Buffalo Offense
Tyrod Taylor ($5200) had an interesting day against the Patriots in Week 2.  While he did throw a season high 3 TD's, he also threw a season high 3 INT's.  Taylor only has 4 INT's on the season, the Patriots defense was certainly able to exploit a weakness in Taylor's game.  Taylor also ran for one of his two rushing TD's on the season, if Taylor is able to again produce some offensive output, the Sammy Watkins ($4800).  While Watkins had a slow statistical day against Revis last week, the entire Bills team plays better with him in the game.  This Bills are 4-2 in games with Watkins playing vs 1-2 in games without him.  In addition, with Watkins in the LU the Bills average 11 more PPG (29.33 with Watkins and 18.33 without).
weapons for the Bills could benefit.  The Bills offense is a much better offense with a healthy

Rex Ryan has had his duels with Bill Belichick, we will add this one to the books after tonight's affair is over.  Look for Ryan to play more Rex Ball pounding the ball with his two workhorse RB's, while allowing Taylor the freedom to look down the field for the occasional shot to Sammy Watkins.  It only takes one of those long pass plays to have a strong statistical game from Watkins.  If the ground game is working, the shot play is much more likely to happen.